2003 Essays -
September
*This section includes two
separate pieces. The September 2003 essay, "Politicians, Personalities and
California's October 7 Plebiscite: Do You Recall . . .?" is immediately
below. Further down the page is a website poem which appeared before the
2003 recall election called "The California Recall Raven." One may scroll
down the page to reach the poem, or click here.
PLEASE NOTE: THE ESSAY HAS NOT BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES WHICH
MIGHT HAVE TAKEN PLACE SINCE IT FIRST APPEARED IN 2003.*
POLITICIANS, PERSONALITIES
AND CALIFORNIA'S OCTOBER 7 PLEBISCITE: DO YOU RECALL . . .?
Along
with Arnold and Arianna, Californians might be surprised to find a few
more familiar names on the lengthy ballot this October than they expected.
Michael Jackson and Robert Dole are both running. (That's Michael Jackson,
satellite project manager, and Robert Dole, small business owner.) Before
stepping into the booth, voters can also check out the websites of
feinsteinforgov.com (Dan Feinstein, that is), kennedygov.com
(businessman/educator Edward Kennedy), or Grishamforgovernor.com (though
one's not likely to find any legal thrillers at this site for
musician/laborer Jack Lloyd Grisham). But once a voter gets through the
135-name list, he or she will have to select just one person to serve as
the state's new chief officer should the current governor, Gray Davis, be
recalled.
* * *
This
month's essay is not so much a single piece of writing as it is a
compilation of information and thoughts on the October 7th recall election
in California. Whatever the results, it will set precedents for the state.
There has never been a state-wide recall campaign for governor which has
made it to the ballot, especially at as critical a time in the state's
economy and future.
So . . .
if you choose to read on, three sections will follow. First, the basic
October 7th "ground rules" for voters will be explained, and links to
non-partisan sites with relevant election information will be highlighted.
After that there will be a brief look at the 2002 general election results
- how Gray Davis was re-elected and what that might mean in this special
election. Finally, a seven-page section from the 2003 - 2004 Governor's
Budget Summary will be presented verbatim. The section is entitled "A New
Fiscal Blueprint for California's Future: A Call for Structural Reform."
In it a "call to action" is made for "changes in the way we do business
and government in this state." Read it for yourself, and listen to what
the candidates and those for and against the recall are saying. Whatever
you decide is best for California, make sure you do one thing -- GET
OUT AND VOTE ON OCTOBER THE 7TH!!
Photograph "Gargoyles at Notre Dame" © 1984 Dorothy A. Birsic
GROUND RULES FOR VOTERS
The
actual laws governing recall elections in California are found in Article
11 of the State's Constitution and Section 11000 of the California Code of
Elections. In the portion of 11000 called "General [Recall] Procedures:
Final Steps" are four straightforward sections governing the choices made
on election day. These "rules" state:
-
Section 11382: Vote for candidate conditioned on vote
on recall: No vote cast in the recall election shall be counted for
any candidate unless the voter also voted for or against the recall of
the officer sought to be recalled
-
Section 11383: Negative votes necessary for retention
of office: If one-half or more of the votes at a recall election are
"no", the officer sought to be recalled shall continue in office.
-
Section 11384: Removal from office if majority vote for
recall: If a majority of votes on a recall proposal are "yes", the
officer sought to be recalled shall be removed from office upon
qualification of his successor.
-
Section 11385: Votes necessary to elect candidate after
recall of officer: If at a recall election an officer is recalled,
the candidate receiving the highest number of votes for the office shall
be declared elected for the unexpired term of the recalled
officer.
Several
phrases like "A candidate with only 15 percent of the vote could be
elected governor" have been repeated in the press and popular media. This
in essence is true. In fact, if the recall passes, a candidate receiving
only ten percent of the vote could be elected if he or she receives the
highest number of votes after all the ballots have been tallied.
Intuitively, this seems to favor the core groups of voters from both major
parties who consistently come out to the polls and support the party-line
candidates. With the sheer number and diversity of candidates this year,
though, who knows? The trends for voter turnout in state-wide special
elections are not encouraging, however.
If you'd like
to read more about the October 7 election, visit the State of
California Secretary of State's Office, Election Division (www.ss.ca.gov/elections/elections.htm)
or the League of Women Voters site, http://www.smartvoter.org.
Anyone interested in registering to vote in the election may do so
at the Secretary of State's website or at their county Registrar of
Voters until September 22. |
SPECIAL ELECTIONS AND THE 2002 GENERAL ELECTION
In the
Statement of Vote 2002 General Elections published by the
California Secretary of State's office, a chart is included showing voter
turnout at statewide elections for almost 100 years. According to that
information, only three statewide special elections have been held since
1970. In the first, on November 6, 1973, about 48% of registered voters
turned out to vote, or a mere 32% of all eligible voters. The results in
the next special election, held November 6, 1979, were even worse. Only
37% of those registered voted, representing just a quarter of all eligible
voters in the state. In the third, held November 2, 1993, the results were
about the same. Thirty six percent of all registered voters, or about 28%
of all eligible voters, showed up at the polls. Will October 7 be
important enough to Californians to significantly change this trend? Only
time will tell.
However,
if the last general election (in which Gray Davis was re-elected) is any
indication, the prospects are not good. According to the same voting
statistics cited earlier, the turnout of registered voters in the 2002
general election was 50.75%. This was the lowest turnout of registered
voters in any regular statewide election since at least 1912.
Although Davis beat his main (Republican) challenger Bill Simon 47 - 42%,
he carried only 14 of 58 counties, primarily in northern California. He
won a majority of the vote in Los Angeles County, but received a statewide
total of 3,533,490 votes -- which, interestingly, is less than the total
number of registered voters in Los Angeles County alone
(3,976,189).
Still, a
majority of voters did vote in the 2002 election. Like it or not, the
governor was elected fairly and democratically. And like it or not, voter
dissatisfaction with his performance in office seems only to have grown
since that time. Despite the efforts of some recall opponents to portray
the October election as an attempt to "steal" the governor's office away
from Gray Davis, the recall process is also a fair and democratic one.
What Californians are presented with now is the opportunity to either
reaffirm their 2002 decision or overturn it, at least as far as the
governor's office is concerned. So what was said before bears repeating:
GET OUT AND VOTE ON OCTOBER THE 7TH!!!.
Photograph © 2010 Dorothy A. Birsic
THE CALIFORNIA ECONOMY AND THE CALIFORNIA BUDGET
OK, so
the economy's not everything. There are enough issues confronting the
state and its leadership to fill up several websites. The state's economy
is, however, one of the primary sources of dissatisfaction cited by many
in evaluating the current governor's performance in office. As to what
ails the state . . . well, here is something which appeared in the
2003-2004 Governor's Budget Summary. Do the proposals here adequately
diagnose and address the problems California faces? And how much of this
can any one governor (regardless of who it is) be responsible for on his
or her own? You be the judge.
* * *
"A NEW FISCAL BLUEPRINT FOR CALIFORNIA'S FUTURE: A CALL FOR STRUCTURAL
REFORM
For over
50 years California has built its economy on a foundation laid by the
leadership of Governors like Earl Warren and Edmund G. "Pat" Brown and the
legislative leaders of those eras. Roads and highways, water and sewer
systems, and the world's most advanced higher education system were all
part of an unparalleled commitment to California's future. It was a
foundation for success that worked.
Over the
years, however, this foundation has been obscured by an endless layering
of new laws on top of old, with little thought of how State government
would retain its ability to meet modern conditions and provide for the
needs of citizens, coping with our changing economy and complex
demographics.
Most
recently, the State's ability to meet the needs of California citizens has
been compromised by the severe volatility of State revenues. The
volatility has significantly constrained the ability of the State to
support necessary public investments to sustain economic growth in
California.
Faced
with the challenge of closing a $34.6 billion budget shortfall, some will
choose to view the budget problem as a crisis of the moment. Closing the
immediate budget gap is not enough, however. Policymakers must seize this
opportunity to develop a new fiscal blueprint for California. We
must view the budget problem as a moment of opportunity and design a new
foundation for meeting the continuing physical infrastructure and human
resources demands of California. The availability of educational
opportunities, access to health care, the public health and safety of our
communities, and the protection of our natural resources and environment
all depend on undertaking the effort.
California's
Current Fiscal Blueprint is Obsolete and Irrational
For more
than half a century, California's economy has fundamentally changed in
response to global market forces. Defense spending fueled California's
economy in the 1950s and 1960s. High technology and other manufacturing
industries emerged in the 1970s and 1980s. Although defense spending
increased briefly in the 1980s, the downsizing of this industry,
particularly aerospace manufacturing and services, led to the deep
recession of the early 1990s. Other sectors in California's economy began
to take hold during the 1980s. Foreign trade, high-technology
manufacturing, professional services, and tourism and entertainment,
helped to diversify and advance the state's economic base throughout the
1990s.
To
support the changing California economy, public investments were made in
the State's physical infrastructure and human resources. Many studies have
noted the significant public investment commitment made in the 1950s and
1960s, including major expansions of the University of California,
California State University, and the California Community Colleges; the
construction of the State Water Project, road, and highways; and a number
of social welfare improvements.
The 1970s
were marked by rapid inflation in consumer prices and wages, as well as
increases in home values, with many property tax bills increasing as much
as 40 percent over a few years. This large increase in property
assessments led to a taxpayer initiative, Proposition 13, on the June 1978
statewide ballot. Overwhelmingly approved by California voters,
Proposition 13 cut local property taxes statewide by over 50 percent and
limited the rate of property tax growth, resulting in a dramatic drop in
revenue to counties, cities, special districts, and schools. To avoid
financial disaster for local governments, lawmakers cut State spending and
"bailed out" local governments with the State's then multi-billion dollar
surplus.
Propsition 13 dramatically altered the
landscape of State and local finance. It halted the unprecedented level of
spending for roads, highways, and colleges and universities, cutting short
this investment in the State's infrastructure. More importantly,
Proposition 13 encouraged a 25-year epoch of ballot-box propositions that
have continued to complicate State and local financing, including the
following examples:
-
Proposition 4, approved by voters in November 1979,
limited annual increases in State and local spending to inflation and
population growth.
-
Propositions 6 and 7, approved by voters in June
1982, abolished the State gift and inheritance taxes and indexed State
income taxes to inflation, respectively.
-
Proposition 37, approved by voters in November
1984, established the State Lottery and dedicated revenues to education.
-
Proposition 62, approved by voters in November
1986, requires two-thirds approval by a local governing body and major
voter approval for new local general taxes.
-
Proposition 98, approved by voters in November
1988, established a minimum State funding level of K-12 schools and
community colleges.
-
Proposition 99, approved by voters in November
1988, imposed a surtax on cigarettes (25 cent) and other tobacco
products to generate revenues for primarily health-related purposes.
-
Proposition 163, approved by voters in November
1992, repealed the "snack tax" and limited the taxation on certain food
items.
-
Proposition 172, approved by voters in November
1992, imposed a one-half cent sales tax increase to generate revenues
for local public safety purposes.
-
Proposition 218, approved by voters in November
1996, limited the authority of local governments to impose taxes,
assessments, fees, and charges and clarified that local general taxes
and special taxes require majority and two-thirds voter approval,
respectively.
-
Proposition 10, approved by voters in November
1998, imposed an additional surtax on cigarettes (50 cent) and other
tobacco products to generate revenues for early childhood development
programs.
-
Proposition 39, approved by voters in November
2000, allows for the enactment of local general obligation bonds for
school facilities with 55 percent voter approval.
-
Proposition 42, approved by voters in March 2002,
permanently dedicates revenues from the sales tax on gasoline,
previously deposited into the General Fund, to transportation purposes.
-
Proposition 49, approved by voters in November
2002, requires State funding for after-school programs pursuant to
certain conditions being met.
Most of
these measures enacted over the last 25 years have limited the amount of
funds available to the State or local governments. Other voter-approved
changes have mandated increased State and local spending for some
programs. Other voter-approved changes have mandated increased State and
local spending for some programs. Still other restrictions have been
placed on the manner in which local governments can raise revenue,
commonly by increasing the percentage of voters who must approve these
revenue increases -- complicating local governments' ability to respond to
local conditions and citizen demands for services. Yet other
voter-approved measures have simply transferred moneys from one kind of
spending to another.
These
numerous changes not only limited State and local fiscal discretion, but
were adopted in a piecemeal fashion rather than as overall solutions to
spending concerns. The practical result is a State and local fiscal system
that is irrational. California's current fiscal structure, the
underpinning of our public investments in physical infrastructure and our
human resources, has not been updated for a very long time. Since 1978,
California's population has grown from around 23 million to over 35
million persons, and the demographics of our state have changed
significantly.
Finally,
the volatility of California's revenues has severely constrained the
ability of the State to support necessary public investments to sustain
economic growth in California. California's current fiscal crisis is
primarily attributable to the precipitous drop in the stock market, which
led to an equally sharp drop in capital gains and stock option income. Two
years ago, these revenue sources comprised 25 percent of total General
Fund revenues.
The
Governor's Budget forecasts capital gains and stock options at 11 percent
of total General Fund revenues in 2001-02 and 8 percent in 2002-03 amd
2003-04/ Thus, the largest proportion of our current budget problem
results from the fluctuating income from capital gains and stock
options.
The
relationship of these income sources to stock market performance and to
the timing of the economic recovery in California and the nation makes
State personal income tax revenues inherently volatile.
Photograph "Lower Plitvice Lakes, Croatia" © 1984 Dorothy
A. Birsic
A Call to Action
California can no longer support critical
public services with an obsolete fiscal blueprint. It is time to make
changes in the way we do business and government in this state. Numerous
reports by public and private organizations clearly show that the State's
fiscal system is incapable of maintaining our public spending
commitments.
This
budget must not only be a balances spending plan for the 2003-2004 fiscal
year -- it simultaneously must resolve our fiscal structural problems by
adopting reforms to our outdated revenue structure and reforms to our
fiscal and budget tools to protect the State's ability to continue support
for vital services in the event of future economic downturns.
California must have a new blueprint for
the future.
Numerous
commissions and studies, including the California Constitution Revision
Commission and the California Citizens Budget Commission, have focused on
State and local reforms. Their recommendations have largely been ignored.
Special interest objections to any change have often led to government
deadlock, even though the need for reform is clear. Enough studies have
been done. Structural reform is fundamental to resolving the State's
budget crisis. Now is the time for policymakers to make the tough choices
that will enable California to invest in our human resources and physical
infrastructure, critical public commitments for sustained economic
growth.
Reforms
to California's current fiscal structure must be an integral part of
resolving the 2003-2004 Budget. In order to begin this dialogue, the
Administration places the following reform proposals on the table for
consideration during 2003. The Governor will convene the bi-partisan
legislative leadership in February to discuss these proposals and solicit
other reform proposals for consideration. In addition, the Administration
will consult with representatives of major stakeholder
interests.
If
enactment of the 2003-04 Budget fails to include reforms to our fiscal
structure, it will be a failure. Fundamental structural reform is integral
to this Budget.
Structural Reform Proposals for Consideration
-
Allow
mid-year budget adjustments and suspension of statues - Restore the
Executive Branch authority, which existed prior to 1983, to make
mid-year budget adjustments when revenues fall significantly below
anticipated levels. This would also allow the Governor to make statutory
changes affecting programs, including entitlement programs.
-
Create
a State budget reserve to mitigate the volatility of the State's
revenues, and re-evaluate current spending limit requirements -
Require that once the Special Fund for Economic Uncertainties has been
established at the appropriate level, any proceeds from extraordinary
revenue growth, particularly from volatile revenue sources, be placed in
a reserve fund for one-time purposes.
-
Require sunset review of all "automatic" spending
laws - Require periodic review of all constitutional or statutory
spending laws. This would provide an opportunity for the Legislature and
the public to discuss the wisdon of continuing guaranteed funding
increases.
-
Require sunset review of all tax breaks - Require
periodic review of all tax breaks. As with automatic spending laws, the
existence of hundreds of tax breaks for businesses and individuals
reduces moneys available for desired spending. These tax breaks often
continue long after the rationale for their adoption has disappeared.
Under this proposal, every tax expenditure currently authorized would
sunset and be extended for a period of five years only after the
effectiveness of the tax expenditure has been determined.
-
Request that the Legislature revise its appropriations
process to require the identification of future year costs of
legislation, and to identify the funds available to pay those costs
- Request that the Legislature evaluate the cost of proposed legislation
beyond the initial year of implementation to more fully understand the
future funding implications. Currently, the fiscal impact identified for
most legislation is often limited to those costs in the year of adoption
and perhaps a few years later. The projected costs in future years are
often not available to legislators who must vote on these bills. At the
same time, it is essential that legislation identify the source of
funding for future year costs.
-
Rebalance the portfolio of State revenue to achieve a
more stable mix of major revenue sources - Dependence on more
volatile revenue sources has hampered the State's ability to
consistently meet funding demands in critical programs. The State needs
to examine ways to more fairly allocate the tax burden and reduce
revenue volatility.
-
Rebalance the portfolio of local government revenue to
achieve a better mix of major revenue sources, and encourage "rational
growth" decisions - Acknowledge the fact that the current revenue
structure virtually forces local governments to make unwise land use
decisions. Known as the fiscalization of land use, this leads to intense
competition between neighboring cities over the location of businesses.
Local competition for retail stores or auto malls to generate sales tax
revenue rarely balances community housing needs or the benefits of
non-retail business and industry. The competition also exacerbates
transportation and environmental problems. Property tax revisions, such
as changing the manner in which commercial properties are re-assessed,
might provide improvised fiscal incentives for local governments to
address local needs.
-
Restore local community control of programs and revenue
raising - Provide reasonable revenue-raising tools to local
governments. In addition, realignment of State and local programs and
revenue is essential. This Budget includes an $8.3 billion State-Local
Program Realignment proposal, assigning program responsibilities to the
appropriate level of government and allowing local governments to
exercise greater discretion in program administration and service
delivery (see Preserving Critical Programs section). Equally essential
is a complete review of statutory mandates on local governments, those
mandates determined to be unnecessary should be
repealed.
* * *
Hopefully
the information has been at least marginally useful to those of you who
have made it this far. Before closing, here's one last piece of wisdom
from the non-partisan Legislative Analyst's Office. It is from a
publication entitled "The 2003-2004 Budget: Perspectives and Issues; [A]
Report From the Legislative Analysts Office to the Joint Legislative
Budget Committee." In the report, it is stated that, "The actions proposed
by the Governor reflect his priorities for dealing with the
shortfall. In evaluating and acting on these proposals, the Legislature
will be confronted with applying its own priorities to make
fundamental decisions about the scope of government services; how those
services are distributed among the citizenry; and what the nature, amount
and mix of taxes in California should be. Given the unprecedented scope of
the problem, any budget that seriously addresses the budget imbalance will
necessarily involve difficult choices that will likely affect all
Californians to one degree or another."
The
recall election has given all voters a unique opportunity to register
either their satisfaction or dissatisfaction with the current governor and
the direction in which his Administration is taking this state. Once
again, listen to the candidates and those speaking for or against the
recall. Think about all of the issues, and most importantly, GET OUT
AND VOTE ON OCTOBER THE 7TH!!!
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*This poem appeared on the
site in early October 2003 just before the California recall election. It
is adapted - with thanks (and apologies!) to Edgar Allen Poe - from Poe's
poem "The Raven."*
"THE
CALIFORNIA RECALL RAVEN"
Once upon a midnight dreary, while Davis pondered, weak
and weary,
Over many a quaint and curious volume of budgetary lore
--
While he nodded, nearly napping, suddenly there came a
tapping,
As of someone gently rapping -- rapping at his chamber
door
"'Tis some visitor," he muttered, "tapping at my chamber
door --
Only this and nothing more."
Ah, distinctly, he remembers, it was in the last
November
As each separate ballot tendered wrought its ghost on
the Capitol floor
Eagerly he wished the morrow; for surely he had sought
to borrow
From the people hope for tomorrow -- tomorrow and for
four years more
For the glorious state with the golden shore
California here for evermore
And the silken new uncertain rustling of each stately
curtain
Thrilled him - filled him with fantastic feelings never
felt before,
So that now, to still the beating of his heart, he stood
repeating
"Tis some visitor entreating entrance at my chamber door
--
Some late visitor entreating entrance at my chamber
door; --
This it is and nothing more."
Presently his soul grew stronger, hesitating then no
longer
"Sir," he said, "or Madam, truly your forgiveness I
implore;
But the fact is I was napping, and so gently you came
rapping
And so faintly you came tapping -- tapping at my chamber
door
That I scarce was sure I heard you" -- here he opened
wide the door --
The electorate there and nothing more.
Deep into California peering, long he stood there,
wondering, fearing
Doubting, dreaming dreams many a governor dreamt
before;
But the silence was unbroken, and the stillness gave no
token
And the only word now spoken was a whispered faint
"Encore"
Slowly dying, nothing more.
Then into his chamber turning, all his soul within him
burning,
Soon again he heard a tapping, something lounder than
before.
"Surely," said he, "surely that is something at my
window lattice;
Let me see, then, what the threat is, and this mystery
explore; --
'Tis the wind and nothing more."
Open here he flung the shutter, when with many a flirt
and flutter
In there stepped a Recall Raven of the stately days of
yore
Not the least obeisance made he; not an instant stopped
or stayed he
But, with mien of lord or lady, perched above his
chamber door --
Perched upon a bust of a governor just above his chamber
door --
Perched, and sat, and nothing more.
Then this ebony bird beguiling his curious fancy into
smiling,
By the grave and stern decorum of the countenance it
wore
"Though thy crest be shorn and shaven, thou," he said,
"art sure no craven
Ghastly grim the Recall Raven wandering from the nightly
shore --
Tell me what thy lordly name is on the Night's Plutonian
Shore!"
Quoth the Recall Raven "No Encore."
Much he marvelled this ungainly fowl to hear discourse
so plainly,
Though its answer little meaning -- little relevancy
bore;
For we cannot help agreeing that no living governor
being
Ever yet was haunted by seeing Recall bird above his
chamber door --
Bird or beast upon sculptured bust above his chamber
door,
With such a name as "No Encore."
But the Raven, sitting lonely on that placid bust, spoke
only
Those words, as if his soul in those words he did
outpour.
Nothing further then he uttered; not a feather then he
fluttered --
'Till Davis scarcely more than muttered "Other Ravens
have flown before --
On the morrow he will leave me, as my hopes have flown
before."
Then the bird said, "No encore."
Startled at the stillness broken by reply so aptly
spoken,
"Doubtless," said he, "what it utters is its only stock
and store
Caught from some unhappy masters, who saw government
disasters
Followed fast and followed faster till his songs one
burden bore --
Till the dirges of their hope the melancholy burden
bore
of "Never, ever -- No encore.""
But the Raven still beguiling made him ponder the
statewide filing
Straight he wheeled a cushioned seat in front of the
bird and bust and door;
Then upon the velvet sinking, he betook himself to
linking
Worry unto worry, thinking what this ominous bird of
yore --
What this grim, ungainly, ghastly, gaunt and ominous
bird of yore
Meant in croaking "No Encore."
Then he sat engaged in guessing, but no syllable
expressing
To the fowl, whose fiery eyes now burned into his
bosom's core;
This and more he sat divining, with his worried head
reclining
On the cushion's velvet lining that the lamp-light
gloated o'er
But whose silver velvet lining with the lamp-light
gloating o'er
Mulled the case of "No Encore."
Then, he thought, the air grew denser
Perfumed from an unseen censer
Swung by petitioners whose foot-falls tinkled on the
tufted floor.
"Wretch," he cried, "what spirit hath lent thee -- by
these voters to have sent thee
Respite - respite and nepenthe from the state's unhappy
roar
Quaff, oh quaff this dire nepenthe, and quelch the
state's unhappy roar
Quoth the Raven, "No Encore."
"Be those words our sign of parting, bird or fiend," he
said upstarting
"Get thee back into the tempest and the Night's
Plutonian shore!
Leave no black plume as a token of those words that have
been spoken!
Leave my government unbroken! Quit the bust above the
door.
Take thy beak from out my heart, and take thy form from
off my door!"
Quoth the raven, "No Encore."
And the Raven, never flitting, still is sitting, still
is sitting
On the governor's bust just above the chamber
door;
And his eyes have all the seeming, of the candidates who
are dreaming
And the lamp-light o'er him streaming throws his image
on the door.
And the day nears from that image that hangs suspended
on the door
Will or won't there be "Encore?"
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